Every year, the Danish Defence Intelligence Service publishes a risk assessment which, based on intelligence assessments, provides a survey of the key to Danish national security. The Risk Assessment deals with international security trends and developments in a number of countries and conflict areas.

Denmark is facing important digital, military and asymmetrical threats. The threats against Danish targets in the digital realm are serious and persistent. Danish public authorities and private companies are facing constant cyber espionage attempts, and certain states have shown willingness to launch more offensive cyber attacks whose aims include swaying public opinion in other countries. Also, Russia continues its military build-up and modernization in western Russia, and the Baltic Sea region remains a key area of friction between Russia and NATO. Finally, the terrorist threat remains among the key threats to Danish national security. Even though ISIL has lost its unbroken belt of territory in Syria and Iraq, radicalized individuals and terrorist groups such as ISIL and al-Qaida still constitute a threat,” says Director of the Danish Defence Intelligence Service Lars Findsen.

Every year, the Danish Defence Intelligence Service publishes this compiled and unclassified Risk Assessment. The analyses in this Risk Assessment are based on intelligence, and the data have been processed accordingly. However, the Risk Assessment is unclassified and written for a wide audience, which is reflected in the wording and the extent of details contained in the Assessment.

In addition to this annual unclassified Risk Assessment, we produce mainly classified assessments and analyses. These reports are part of the patchwork of information that helps Denmark define and pursue its foreign, security and defence policies as a sovereign state in a world where threats are becoming increasingly complex.

The information cut-off date is 30 November 2017.

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